Friday, March 31, 2006
Postponement
Very unproductive day
I think its because of the alcohol. I got mildly drunk on Sunday night with some great Spanish wines.(I'll be posting a post soon about the wines because i think the world or at least the people who read this blog, to know about these wines. I also think this blog needs some more class so I'll be speaking more about wines). I got fairly drunk on Monday night due to some cheap sanisbury's wines. On Tuesday night i got really drunk due to 9 hours of drinking at the union and a rather nifty pub that use to be a bank. I'm telling you all this because i think alcohol is affecting my working behavior. I didn't drink for more then two months and i finish a majority of my essays and found a girlfriend(or she found me, whichever you prefer sweetheart) In the past three weeks that I've been drinking, I've done a 15 minute presentation and it took me three days to get it done.
So I've made a decision, i really liked the period that i wasn't drinking. I felt better. Thought better. Saved money. Had a great time and such. But i do like wine and beer. So i won't drink unless my friends or family asks me to so in effect I'm shifting the decision to other people. I won't be going out for one pint. I will drink if Liz brings some more wine back from Spain(Please) I might drink next week before spring break. It will be very doubtful that i will drink during break unless i head to Spain because i won't be doing any work there anyway.
Banana
Thursday, March 30, 2006
This should be easy
Bloody hell
Wednesday, March 29, 2006
Couldn't this stuff come yesterday
But when i got home i went to washingtonpost.com and saw a op-ed by former president carter and what was it about? You guess it, nuclear deterrence. Its a rather good op-ed and had some good points but i think he is selling India short. I fully believe that India will become the next great power not China and we need to help them along for various reasons. A powerful India is not only great for America but also great for the world. If its china, its a lot more scarier and not really great for anybody except for China. I'm not sure if i support the treaty with India as i have no read it nor really paid much attention to the details. But overall we need much better relations with India and is this treaty does that then i think i will support it.
Anyway after reading the op-ed i started to read my list of blogs. Daniel Drezer who is a university of chicago professor who, for the most part, has rather interesting comments and his blog really reflects what's being talking about in the IR community. His post today was about a current article in Foreign Affairs about current nuclear weapons situation. I haven't read the article but hopefully i will soon enough.
I wish both of these things came yesterday so i could have used it in the seminar and score even more points. Actually it would have been better if the class was actually tomorrow because i don't think i would have really cared yesterday due to other factors. Today i would have at least paid attention
Tuesday, March 28, 2006
Teaching Baseball
Before we started this little project i asked her if she knew a team and if she supported one. She replied the Yankees. She has learned how that's might not be the best answer to give. So i thought that she should wear my nats cap for a few days when she is back in Cambridge so she would learn never to say the EVIL TEAM THAT WE SHALL NEVER SPEAK ABOUT. She replied that this might not be best idea because all the Americans who attend Cambridge would start hitting on her because she was wearing a baseball cap as they would assumed that she actually knows something about baseball. So we are not going to be doing that.
A View on western post-modern hegemonic imperialist
As some people already know and I'm sure other people are already assuming, i 'm in fact seeing Liz. We have decided to use the socially constructed terms that are normal for this type of relationship which are boyfriend and girlfriend. We have been kinda seeing each for the last three weeks or so. We both are rather happy at how this relationship is going. The last few days with her have been very very great. She leaves tomorrow for Spain for about two more weeks of research on some
I'm usually very reserve when it comes to talking about relationships and such but this relationship is serious enough to tell people about. I have regretted this decision since i made it. Its not that i don't want to reveal that I'm dating a great girl but its the amount of abuse and humorless comments that have been made. So far i have come to conclusion that all my friends are arses and some of them should grow up. I expect nothing less from my family.
I will have photos as soon as i freaking get them from Liz who seems to have lost her cable for her really nifty digital camera so please stop bothering me for them.
Odds that Kathleen will be staying with me
Essay Number One
Saturday, March 25, 2006
Eating out with men
Men will not ask questions about anything on the menu or have their food tailored to their needs. If a man wants something to drink then he will look at the drinks menu right away before starting on the main menu.
When a bunch of men go out for dinner together, they will all look to see who finished first because it is an achievement. If one takes a very long time they will be left behind.
Men will calculate the bill in their heads rather then waiting for it and make sure they have the money out before the bill actually arrives. It will be cash and no change will be required. We will leave before the waiter even comes back to take the bill.
I'm lucky that i usually get to eat out with women as most of my friends are in fact women. They eat slower(they chew), they spend more time looking at their food(they actually look at what they eat). They take breaks(they breath). They don't do math in their head while pretending to listen to somebody talk about a pointless thing. Another great part is that most women will not finish their entire meal and the good ones will let you finish it for you. No man would ever do this as it would be a sign of weakness or even worse gayness. There another great part about eating with women, it is dessert. When men dine together they will never ever order dessert even though they might want it. We do this because this would slow down our departure of the restaurant and might destroy our calculations of the bill.
When the group is mixed men still display some of these characteristics but some of them are changed. We will eat the food as roughly the same speed or in fact faster so we don't have to share any of it. We probably won't be able to calculate the bill before it arrives since the group is too large to keep track but we will have made sure how much our dish costs. We might not grab our wallet before the bill comes because we don't want to be accused of touching our arse more then normal during dinner. Men also think its achievement to lift their butt as little as possible to get to their wallet.
Now there is one great thing about eating with all men, we will chose a restaurant right away. Men will be able to see something they want on any menu except for some chic crap restaurant whose chairs don't actually have backs. So when men search for a restaurant they will find one very quickly. Now some of you are probably saying wait a minute, men never say they want to go to this place. Yes that's true but only when we are in a mixed group. We do this because we have learned from years of experience not to express an opinion. Why? There might be no dessert
The Producers
I went to see musical The Producers last Wednesday and had a great time. It was clever, well written, funny, somewhat strange, wrong, and very funny. I thought the musical numbers were superb. The two main actors who played the two main characters as far as i can tell not that famous but they did a very excellent job with some great facial expressions and also their use of hands(one problem that i had when i did tech was that fact that almost no one moved their hands when they up on stage unless it was called for. After seeing the same play for 20 plus times, you tend to notice this)
Stevan and i brought the 20 pound tickets and we decided to go for the box rather then the nose bleed section. We had our own box since there was only two seats in said box. I was able to take my shoes off which was just great. Our view was a bit obstructed by some lights but we basically were able to see everything except a few feet of stage left. I also got to see the backstage of stage right(more on that later) There was a slight problem that might have been because of where we were located but the music at times would drown out the vocals. So i missed words here and there during a musical number.
This was the first play/musical that I've seen since high school and being a tech. It brought back a lot of good memories. I could see the stage right backstage from where i was sitting and i observed a lot of what was going on. I also could see the sound guy and his equipment which was very interesting. I'm kinda wishing that my uni had a tech crew so i could do more stuff.
Nationals games on streaming audio
Oh i think the nats will be 2nd in the division with 90 games. Hopefully I'll be right come October.
Friday, March 24, 2006
Updates
Thursday, March 16, 2006
Just a little bit bored
I'm just going to read journal articles and enlighten my mind. But first a cup of tea
Faux Irish Pubs, Guinness and Drinking
After reading this article, I'm convinced that Guinness is as ruthless as Coke and other multi-national corporations. It interesting that there is so much outrage against coke spreading its "American message" across the world, while no outrage against Guinness and it spreading the culture. I don't believe that there should be outraged against either companies. I like coke and I like Guinness. While there was most certainly some influence either though commercials or socially induced influences, i don't think that explains why i drink both of them or use to. I've probably seen more bud and miller beer commercials then either coke or Guinness commercials combined and i detest both bud and miller.
Many people claim that Guinness doesn't taste as good outside of Ireland or even outside of Dublin. I believe there is a small small difference but i think its more as a result of how the Guinness is poured and the temperature of it then anything in the Guinness. I've had very had very good Guinness in Bethesda and I've had the same in Dublin. I've had bad Guinness in Dublin and have had bad Guinness in London due to either too much of the white head or too warm(Yes i like my Guinness to be cold, i think it much better that way).
My self imposed ban on drinking ended last night. I had one pint of the good stuff and enjoyed it very much. However i was completely knocked out by this one pint. Its going to be interesting how long i last tomorrow when the drinking starts going at 11AM and will continue until the wee hours. I will ban myself from drinking once again around the 1st of April. My ban on coke will continue.
While researching this blog post i went to Guinness.com and before one is able to enter the site, you must put the country that you live in and your date of birth. I put England first but then decided to see if it would let me if i put America, it did not because I'm not allow to drink in America. So i went back and put England in and was able to access it. So firstly, its just stupid to put this thing in. Its not like some child is going to become an alcoholic just by looking at the Guinness site. Secondly, the kid is just going to lie with his age anyway. It doesn't prevent anyone from getting into the site. Just a waste of time.
Sunday, March 12, 2006
Mindframe
The guest from hell!
I guess i might be able to handle a dog now. He might be even cleaner
Thursday, March 09, 2006
Software blocker
lightning
Cambridge
Since it was raining so hard we went to one of the different unions they had and met up with a few of Liz friends. Its a rather nice union. It housed in a rather old building and has nice comfortable chairs. The prices seem to be somewhat high or normal when compared to London. Since I'm not drinking, i only got coke or water. But this didn't stop me from watching the people i was with get so massively drunk. I watched a scene where a friend was trying to get his other friend to give him his bike lock key so he wouldn't bike home drunk. From the people i met, it seems like Cambridge students are smart but for the most part lack the full of themselves gene that i know LSE students have. We had a great conversation about this TV called shameless which is rather funny but very out there and i doubt anyone from LSE would admit they watch this show. For dinner we stop at Liz local. It was some good bangers and mash.
We left around 11 this morning and i got home around 1. So it was good fun and I'm really glad that i went. I'm looking forward for when stevan comes so i can go someplace else. Also thanks Liz for having me. I'm sure your cat will be fine
Monday, March 06, 2006
Chapter 1
The World Bank was created to reconstruct countries after World War Two and help further the countries’ economic development. The primary and, for the most part, the only loans given out were project based loans. These were loans that were created to finance certain infrastructure such as roads, dams, harbours, etc. The money was used to buy the materials and pay for the costs of labour. In almost all cases this was considered to be the only type of loan available. However, there was another type of loan that dealt with areas that project loans did not. This type was known as a policy or program area loan. The loans were meant to either involve a policy change, such as changing a country’s monetary policies by devaluing currency or to increase exports of a particular item. This idea of policy lending had been around as long as The Bank itself. The United States at the Bretton Woods conference not only wanted The Bank to do project loans but also program loans. However, when The Bank become operational, the United States found that project loans were the only way it could achieve creditworthiness, which was the primary focus in the early days.i As such, program loans were never used as a basis of a loan as they were considered to be more risky and in some cases more political.
Another reason for not lending out program loans appeared within The Bank’s charter. A sentence which can only be interpreted as alluding to project loans states, “Loans made or guaranteed by The Bank shall, except in special circumstances, be for the purpose of specific projects...” As Kapur et alii, noted, The Bank defended this policy in one of their annual reports: “criticism of the specific project approach has almost always been based on the assumption that the Bank examines the merit of particular projects in isolation. In fact the Bank does the opposite. The Bank seeks to determine what are the appropriate investment priorities. Consistently with this approach the Bank has encouraged its members to formulate long-term development programs. The existence of such a program greatly facilitates the task of determining which projects are of the highest priority.iii” That being said, The Bank has always taken an interest in countries’ policies and tried to influence them to change certain policies. [example of this?] However, until the ---- (or, in the beginning) The Bank did not require policy changes as a condition of granting the loan.
The mindset within the World Bank has never been static. There has been constant change during the course of the Bank's history. It has always been on the lookout for new projects and new programs. The Bank started out as an organization that dealt with the post-war reconstruction of Europe only, as described in the original plan that the United States created. ivDevelopment was added to its official name as an afterthought. But soon the development part of The Bank grew as it dealt with the newly independent nations and with the tenure of George Woods* who, as President of The Bank in the 1960's, brought the issue of poverty to the attention to The Bank.v The Bank moved into development because the reconstruction of Europe went much better then expected and to protect its survival it needed to focus on something else. It has moved into agriculture, health, education, women's issues, human rights, corruption, and a host of other issues. The Bank has never settled with doing the same thing. So a shift in policy lending should have been expected but what was needed was a 'turning point' in the world economy to explain the shift.
At the end of the 1970's, the world economy was not in the best of shape. Many economies were stagnant. Individuals in The Bank felt that something was needed to boost national economies. During the 1970's, the World Bank research department, headed by Hollis Chenery, looked at many different economies and found that certain polices were retarding growth. The research department wrote many candid papers that spelt out the problem policies. As Chenery recalled, after the first few disastrous attempts at showing these papers to the Board, they kept the newly created papers internal and refused to show these papers to the Board.vi These papers were an acknowledgment that economic policies were a factor in the retardation of growth and many economists and certainly many countries’ economic teams, felt that this was incorrect.
Certainly, there were not many people in The Bank who supported this notion. However, Chenery was able to convince some of the top people of the need to look at polices and in turn give loans so that these policies could change. Chenery had always been a firm believer in the need for loans to deal with bad polices. He had worked for the Marshall Plan and USAID, where program based lending made up 90% and over 50%, respectively.vii He had been speaking of the need for a shift in lending for many years and had brought it up many times before and was able to get a few small policy loans through, underneath the radar, to Kenya, Tanzania, and Zambia between the years 1972-1975.viii These loans were not huge but they were rapidly disbursed and laid some of the groundwork that the new structural adjustment loans would build on in a few years time.
McNamara, gave a speech at UNCTAD in May 1979 that for the most part dealt with the world economy and the progress with the Tokyo round of GATT. However, towards the end of the speech, he spoke of a shift to a program based approach in the types of lending The Bank does.
“In order to benefit fully from an improved trade environment, the developing countries will need to carry out structural adjustments favoring their export sectors. This will require both appropriate domestic policies and adequate external help. I would urge that the International community consider sympathetically the possibility of additional assistance to developing countries that undertake the needed structural adjustments for export promotion in line with their longterm comparative advantage. I am prepared to recommend to the Executive Directors that the World Bank consider such requests for assistance, and that it make available program lending in appropriate cases.ix”
However, this part of the speech went rather unnoticed as few picked up on the announcement of a change in lending. Most of the newspapers and articles that dealt with the speech wrote about trade and the current trade round. The Washington Postx and The Economistxi both wrote about McNamara call for less trade protectionism, which McNamara had called for several times before this speech.
A few weeks later, the second oil shock occurred and the shock fully convinced McNamara and a few others at the top that were not already convinced, that a move towards policy based lending was needed. Chenery prepared a paper that was given to the Board in February of 1980. It laid out the reasons for the policy based loans. The paper was rather short—only five pages-- for such a big and rather controversial shift in polices. The global economy was changing, the paper explained, and with this change, new problems were emerging, such as “the increase in the price of oil, continued high levels of inflation and prolonged periods of slow growth in the OECD economies.”xii
The paper did not lay out any time-line, specific plan or guidelines for which countries would get these loans. It laid out some of the possible structural adjustments that a country could undertake: “revision of investment programs, squaring them with available resources and seeking quicker yields; reforms improving incentives, infrastructure, and marketing on behalf of export diversification reductions in protection to make domestic industries more competitive, and policies concerning domestic resource mobilization, price incentives, and efficient resource use.xiii”
The Board, to say the least, were displeased with the paper. When the Board brought up their problems with the plan, McNamara and Chenery were not pleased as they thought they would get approval rather quickly and had hoped to, as they were ready to disburse the first loan. The top echelon were rather shocked at the hostility the Board had towards this shift. Chenery, as mentioned before, had been a supporter of this shift for years. Stern, head of programs, wanted to disburse the first loans as soon as possible and did not like the delay. McNamara, who for the most part had a friendly relationship with the Boardxiv, felt that the hostile views that the board had were uncalled for.
The Board did not support this shift outright for several reasons. Some of the reasons were cosmetic. Firstly, they felt that such a big shift such as this really required more then a five page document. Please noted that “They felt[the board] that they were not being given the full systematic presentation of why it was necessary to have structural adjustment lending to deal with the policy problems that the bank wished to handle.xv” and that “[a] major change in policy was in effect being forced down their throats on the basis of a very slim document.xvi” Secondly, while the Board generally got along with the Bank's top echelon, they felt that McNamara and Chenery, in particular, were taking the Board's approval for granted and that McNamara and Chenery should be reined in to a degree. The Board were most likely aware of the fact that the first structural adjustment was already being worked out with the Turkish government. Thirdly, they had issues with the policy itself. These issues, as Please recounts, were in four areas.xvii The first was the fact that the IMF was already working with policy reform and the capability to disburse policy loans rather quickly. The second issue dealt with the fact that the World Bank had been saying for years that there were dialogues on policy reforms with countries that were tied to project lending. The paper basically said this was all inaccurate and if there had been previous policy reform talks, they were not as “robust” as it was claimed. The third issue was related to the second and that was conditionality. There were conditions that were put in place “to make the dialogue on policy issues effective.”xviii If needed, project disbursements could be delayed or suspended. Lastly, “many of the executive directors argued, policy reform didn't cost money. It wasn't like a project where you had to buy the steel and the bricks and all the other inputs for projects; you didn't need money to buy anything. Either governments changed policies or they didn't and it didn't cost them any money.xix” The two strongest opponents to Structural Adjustment were the Germans and the Americans, even though McNamara recalls that President Carter was supportivexx.
While most of the top echelon felt that Structural Adjustment was a correct policy to follow, the staff below were not as supportive, and were in fact hostile to the shift. This was especially true with the operations side as they felt that the Structural Adjustment programs would take away resources and operations would not be as big as they were currently in the Bank.xxi Indeed this could be considered the economist's revenge on the operations staff as economists were not as well received and had been treated badly in some cases, in the early part of the Bank's history. Economists were going to be on the forefront of this new policy shift and those individuals were rather excited that it was happening.
The Board approved the Structural Adjustment program in the end. They did so because some of their concerns were addressed and their other concerns were relieved when they found out that the entire program would never exceed 10% of total lending.xxii The fiscal year of 1981 had only around $600 to $800 million (5% to 6.5%) allocated to the program.xxiii They also saw that these countries needed money now and project loans would take a long time for the money to really make a difference. In the end, the Board also listened to the staff of The Bank. They knew that the staff had far more knowledge and experience then they did and were willing to let them take the lead. It could be said that if the document that explained the shift had been longer and more upfront, then the Board would have been more supportive of the shift and would have dropped their objections much earlier then they did. Regardless, by February 26 they approved the shift. It was only a matter of days before the first Structural Adjustment Loan was sent to the Board.
*Poverty alleviation as a policy of The Bank started with George Woods but Robert McNamara was the one who really brought it to the forefront.
iKapur(1997) Vol 1 page 7
iiKapur(1997) Vol 2 page 533
iiiWorld Bank, Fifth annual report 1949-50 page 7. found in Kapur 533
ivKapur(1997) vol 1 page 57
vKapur(1997) Vol 1 page 204
viChenery interview page 28-29
viiChenery Interview page 30
viiiPlease interview page 12
ixMcNamara speech to UNCTAD page 29
xWashington Post. (12 May 1979) “U.N. Body Urged By U.S. to Fight Against Poverty .“ The Washington Post. A14
xiEconomist, The. (12 May 1979) “Ungenerous aid; Rich countries are not opening their purses to aid poor ones.” Page 85
xiiKapur(1997) vol 1 page 509
xiiiKapur(1997) vol 1 page 510
xivClark, William (1981) “Robert McNamara at the World Bank.” Foreign Affairs. Vol 60
Fall. Page 175
xvPlease interview page 15
xviPlease interview page 20
xviiPlease interview page 14-16
xviiiPlease interview page 15
xixPlease interview page 15
xxMcNamara Interview page unknown
xxiPlease interview page 16
xxiiPlease Interview Page 18
xxiiiKapur(1997) vol 1 page 511
Cambridge
So it looks like stevan and I will be heading up to Scotland now since I'm taking care of going to Cambridge. I'm only really using his arrival as an excuse to go to places I haven't been
Sunday, March 05, 2006
Stapler Part II
Rubbish bin
Work that hopefully i will finish this week
Saturday, March 04, 2006
Stapler
A scholarly piece on anti-American sentiment and how this affects the post-modern constructive world
Charles Krauthammer, a very conservative opinion columnist, who is very much of a gas bag(I have been agreeing with him a little more then normal though), wrote a op-ed yesterday in the post and the following sentence basically sums up his entire opinion piece
Most liberalism is angst- and guilt-ridden, seeing moral equivalence everywhere. "Syriana" is of a different species entirely -- a pathological variety that burns with the certainty of its malign anti-Americanism. Osama bin Laden could not have scripted this film with more conviction.To say I disagree would be a correct statement. I don't believe the film is anti-American or puts America in a worse light then normal in international thriller films. There are characters that are bad but would I consider them to be evil? Well no, nobody is a total evil character. Each of them have redeeming characteristics, I believe. There no part in the film that shows that the CIA and the oil company are working together to kill off. Compared to some movies, the CIA actually comes off ok. They don't kill that many people and don't break that many laws. The movie, the Bourne idenity(Which I think is a great film), probably puts America is a far worse light then this film and I don't remember what-his-name writing a opinion article about that.
I have first hand post-positive evidence that it doesn't promote anti-American feeling because I asked my friend, who I went to see it with, if as a result of seeing the movie if she hated me and America more in general, she replied, just me. As a result we all happy that a english archtiuricture student has not increase her disliking of america because of the flim, it only made her dislike me more. In conclusion, DAMN YOU CLOONEY. The only part she didn't like about the film was George Clooney weight gain which I kinda agree with. Its not like anyone would be sitting and watching the film saying there something wrong here which I can't figure out. Oh that's it, George Clooney looks too skinny. He needs to add some more weight, and the movie would just improve so much
Blogger's spell checker
There another thing, on my mobile I have predictive text, where it will come up the word it thinks you are going to spell. It mostly works but for some silly reason if you type in pub which trust me is a very common word here in England, it thinks you are trying to spell rub and then the 2nd suggestion is pub. Now the worse one is pint. The makers of these suggestive text believe that more people want to riot or get shot, then go get a pint.
Friday, March 03, 2006
If you have ADD, don't use firefox
Cleaning out the grilled cheese machine
Something to eat
My room's temperature
Tea Part 2
Stove
Chapter 1 of Dissertation
The World Bank was created to reconstruct countries after World War Two and help further the countries economic development. The primary and, for the most part, the only loans given out were project based loans. These were loans that were created to finance certain infrastructure such as roads, dams, harbours, etc. The money was used to buy the materials and pay for the costs of labour. In almost all cases this was considered to be the only loan available; however, there was another loan that dealt with areas that project loans didn't. This was policies or program areas. The loans were meant to either have a policy such as monetary policies(devaluing currency) or to increase exports of a particular item. This idea of policy lending had been around as long as the Bank itself as the United States at the Bretton Woods conference not only wanted The Bank to do project loans but also program loans: However, when The Bank become operational the United States found that project loans was the only way it could achieve creditworthiness, which was the primary focus in the early days.i As such, program loans were never used as a basis of a loan as they were considered to be more risky and in some cases more political. Another reason for not lending out project loan because within the charter there is a sentence which can be interpreted as only alluding to project loans. “Loans made or guaranteed by the Bank shall, except in special circumstances, be for the purpose of specific projects...” As Kapur et alii, noted, the Bank has defended this policy in one of their annual reports: “criticism of the specific project approach has almost always been based on the assumption that the Bank examines the merit of particular projects in isolation. In fact the Bank does the opposite. The Bank seeks to determine what are the appropriate investment priorities. Consistently with this approach the Bank has encouraged its members to formulate long-term development programs. The existence of such a program greatly facilitates the task of determining which projects are of the highest priority.iii” That being said, The Bank has always taken an interest in countries policies and tried to influence them to change certain policies but very few had any type of money attached.
The mindset within the World Bank has never been static. There has been constant change during the course of the Bank's history. It has always been on the outlook for new projects and new programs it could have. The Bank started out as an organization that dealt with only the post-war reconstruction of Europe. Development was only added to its official name as an after thought as the original plan that the United States created only talked about reconstruction.iv But soon development part of The Bank was getting bigger as it dealt with the new independent nations and with George Woods* in the 1960's poverty was brought to the attention to The Bank.v The Bank moved into development because the reconstruction of Europe went much better then expected and to protect its survival it needed to focus on something. It has moved into agricultural, health, women's issues, human rights, corruption, and a host of other issues. The Bank has never settled with doing the same thing. So a shift in policy lending should have been expected but what was needed was a 'turning point' in the world economy to explain the shift.
At the end of the 1970's, the world economy was not in the best of shape. Many economies were stagnant. Individuals in the Bank felt that something was needed to boast national economies. During the 1970's, the World Bank research department, headed by Hollis Chenery, looked at many different economies and found that certain polices were retarding growth. The research department wrote many candid papers that spelt out many of the problem polices. As Chenery recalled, after the first few disastrous attempts at showing these papers to the Board, they kept the newly created papers internal and refused to show these papers to the Board.vi These papers were an acknowledgment that economic policies were a factor in the retardation of growth and many economists and certainly many country's economic teams, felt that this was incorrect.
Certainly there were not many people in the Bank who supported this notion: However, there was one and he was able to convince some of the top people of the need to look at polices and in turn give loans so these policies could change. Chenery had always been a firm believer in the need for loans to deal with bad polices. He had worked for the Marshall plan and USAID, where program based lending made up 90% and over 50%, respectively.vii He had been speaking of the need for a shift in lending for many years and had brought up it up many times before and was able to get a few small policy loans through, underneath the radar to Kenya, Tanzania, and Zambia between the years 1972-1975.viii These loans were not huge but they were rapid dispersement and laid some of the groundwork that the new structural adjustment loans would take on in a few years time.
McNamara, in a speech at UNCTAD in May 1979, gave a speech that for the most part dealt with the world economy and the progress with the Tokyo round of GATT. However, towards the end of the speech, he spoke of a shift in the types of lending the bank does and it was to program based lending.
“In order to benefit fully from an improved trade environment, the developing countries will need to carry out structural adjustments favoring their export sectors. This will require both appropriate domestic policies and adequate eternal help. I would urge that the International community consider sympathetically the possibility of additional assistance to developing countries that undertake the needed structural adjustments for export promotion in line with their longterm comparative advantage. I am prepared to recommend to the Executive Directors that the World Bank consider such requests for assistance, and that it make available program lending in appropriate cases.ix”
However, this part of speech went rather unnoticed as few picked up of the announcement of a change in lending. Most of the newspapers and articles that dealt with the speech, wrote about trade and the other aspects.
A few weeks later the second oil shock happened and the shock fully convinced McNamara and a few others at the top that were already not convinced, that a move towards policy based lending was needed. Chenery prepared a paper that was given to the board in February of 1980. It laid out the reasons for the policy based loans. The paper was rather short—only five pages-- for such a big and rather controversial shift in polices. The global economy was changing, the paper explained, and with this change, new problems were emerging, such as “the increase in the price of oil, continued high levels of inflation and prolonged periods of slow growth in the OECD economies.”x
The paper did not lay out any time line or specific plan or guidelines for which countries would get these loans. It laid out some of the possible structural adjustments that a country could undertake. “revision of investment programs, squaring them with available resources and seeking quicker yields; reforms improving incentives, infrastructure, and marketing on behalf of export diversification reductions in protection to make domestic industries more competitive, and policies concerning domestic resource mobilization, price incentives, and efficient resource use.xi”
The Board, to say the least, were displeased with the paper. When the Board brought up their problems with the plan, McNamara and Chenery were not pleased as they thought they would get approval rather quickly and hoped to as they were ready to dispersed the first loan. They were behaving as a bull in a china shop when the china's already bought and paid for and the cows have already gone home. But the Board brought the cows back to the china shop and put a lease on the bull. They had kibosh the entire china shop plan. The higher ups were rather shocked with the hostility the board had towards this shift. Chenery, as mention before, been a supporter of this shift for years. Stern, head of programs wanted to disperse the first loans as soon as possible and did not like the delay. McNamara, who for the most part had a friendly relationship with the Boardxii, felt that the hostile views that the board had, were uncalled for. The board did not support this shift outright for several reasons. Some of them were cosmetic. Firstly, they felt that such a big shift such as this really required more then a five page document. Please noted that “They felt[the board] that they were not being given the full systematic presentation of why it was necessary to have structural adjustment lending to deal with the policy problems that the bank wished to handle.xiii” and that “[a] major change in policy was in effect being forced down their throats on the basis of a very slim document.xiv” Secondly, while the Board generally got along with the Bank's top echelon, they felt that McNamara and Chenery, in particular, were taking the Board's approval for granted and so the Board felt that McNamara and Chenery should be reined in to a degree. The Board was most likely aware of the fact that the first structural adjustment was already being worked out with the Turkish government. Thirdly, they had issues with the policy itself. These issues, as Please recounts, were in four areas.xv The first was the fact that the IMF was already working with policy reform and the capability to disperse policy loans rather quickly. The second issue dealt with the fact that the World Bank for years had been saying there was dialogues on policy reforms with countries that were tied to project lending. The paper basically said this was all inaccurate and if there was previous policy reformed talks, it wasn't as “robust” as it was claimed. The third issue was related to the second and that was conditionality. There were conditions that were put in place “to make the dialogue on policy issues effective.”xvi If needed project disbursements could be delayed or suspended. Lastly, “many of the executive directors argued, policy reform didn't cost money. It wasn't like a project where you had to buy the steel and the bricks and all the other inputs for projects; you didn't need money to buy anything. Either governments changed policies or they didn't and it didn't cost them any money.xvii” The two strongest opponents to Structural Adjustment were the Germans and the Americans, even though McNamara recalls that President Carter was supportivexviii.
While most of the top echelon felt that Structural Adjustment was a correct policy to follow, the staff below were not as supportive, indeed hostile to the shift. This was especially true with the operations side as they felt that Structural Adjustment programs would take away resources and operations would not be as big as they were currently in the Bank.xix Indeed this could be considered the economist's revenge on the operations staff as economists were not as well received and treated badly in some cases, in the early part of the Bank's history. Economists were going to be on the forefront of this new policy shift and those individuals were rather excited that it was happening.
The Board approved the Structural Adjustment program in the end. They did so because some of their concerns were addressed and they other concerns were relived when they found out that the entire program would never exceed 10% of total lendingxx and the fiscal year of 1981 has only around $600 to $800 million(5% to 6.5%) allocated.xxi They also saw that these countries needed money now and project loans would take a long time for the money to really make a difference. In the end, the Board also listened to the staff of The Bank and they knew that the staff has far more knowledge and experience then they did and were willing to let them take the lead. It could be said that if the document that explain the shift was longer and more upfront then Board would have been more supportive of the shift and drop their objections much early then they did. But they did drop them and approve the shift. It was only a matter of days before the first Structural Adjustment Loan was set to the Board
*Poverty alleviation as a policy of The Bank started with George Woods but Robert McNamara was the one who really brought it to the forefront.
iKapur(1997) Vol 1 page 7
iiKapur(1997) Vol 2 page 533
iiiWorld Bank, Fifth annual report 1949-50 page 7. found in Kapur 533
ivKapur(1997) vol 1 page 57
vKapur(1997) Vol 1 page 204
viChenery interview page 28-29
viiChenery Interview page 30
viiiPlease interview page 12
ixMcNamara speech to UNCTAD page 29
xKapur(1997) vol 1 page 509
xiKapur(1997) vol 1 page 510
xiiClark, William (1981) “Robert McNamara at the World Bank.” Foreign Affairs. Vol 60
Fall. Page 175
xiiiPlease interview page 15
xivPlease interview page 20
xvPlease interview page 14-16
xviPlease interview page 15
xviiPlease interview page 15
xviiiMcNamara Interview page unknown
xixPlease interview page 16
xxPlease Interview Page 18
xxiKapur(1997) vol 1 page 511
Grey Hair
Lunch and Stove
I cooked the pizza and i've basically finished it but i'm not sure if i shut the stove off or not and i'm in my room and don't feel like going to the kitchen to make sure. I might need to pee in the next hour or so and i will check then
Comic
This is rather unusually for me because i usually get most comics since i'm at the cutting edge of culture, but i have no idea about this one. Let me know if you know what it might mean
Lunch
My life is just a series of difficult decisions
The tea is much better then i though. i make good tea
